The Red Sea… New alliances form following the failure of the chaos plan managed by the UAE

Over the past few days, following the escalation of the political and security crisis between Saudi Arabia and the UAE due to sharp differences in views on the security, military, and political situations in the Gulf of Aden, Somalia, and Sudan, this divergence and disagreement has now ended in what resembles a complete political rift between the two countries, as the matter did not stop in Yemen alone after the UAE’s rapid withdrawal from it.  . Despite its logistical withdrawal from Yemen and Somalia, the UAE continues to make mistakes in Sudan by supporting the criminal Rapid Support Forces militia with weapons and money and providing it with political and media support, causing chaos in the region, especially since the UAE plays a role in providing military support to the government of Abiy Ahmed’s government in Ethiopia to strike the rebels in the Tigray region. The UAE’s chaotic behavior in Yemen and Somalia has not completely stopped, as it continues to secretly and openly support separatist groups in both Yemen and Somalia after colluding in the smuggling of the leader of the Yemeni Southern Transitional Council, Aidrous al-Zubaidi, from Yemen through Somali territory to the UAE in addition to its efforts to cause internal divisions in the Puntland region by inviting regional leaders to the UAE and offering them various incentives to prevent them from fully integrating into the federal government in the capital, Mogadishu.

Perhaps these developments have prompted Saudi Arabia to revisit the idea of forming a new alliance with its Red Sea neighbors, especially countries that maintain friendly relations with Saudi Arabia, such as Egypt, Eritrea, Sudan, and Somalia.

This is to keep two important military powers from joining the alliance with Riyadh, one nuclear and the other the second largest power in NATO!

Thus, the tools of sabotage came together to disrupt Gulf reconciliation and close the doors to important Islamic parties, in an attempt to confuse Riyadh and break its regional centrality without confronting it directly!

Abu Dhabi aims to isolate the Kingdom from its vital circles in the Gulf, the Levant, the Horn of Africa, and the Islamic heartland, and to create a ring of crises that will keep it busy with open files, while presenting itself as a “regional balancer.” However, this approach is hampered by a structural deficit: Saudi Arabia has a human, geopolitical, and historical depth that is difficult to besiege through tools of disruption. With the shifts in modern Saudi policy toward development, preventive diplomacy, and the redefinition of national security, the gap between the logic of “managing chaos” and the logic of “fortifying stability” is widening.

The new Saudi Arabia does not see chaos as an existential threat, but rather as a security equation that can be dismantled. It has shifted the confrontation from crisis management to disarming its functions, withdrawn political pretexts, and redefined legitimacy according to regional security interests. It has left its opponents with two choices: compromise or isolation.

Saudi Arabia has now learned its lesson and realized that the good intentions surrounding the UAE’s plans in the region were misplaced. Therefore, it made decisive decisions that ruled for the complete withdrawal of the UAE from Yemen within a short period of time, in addition to providing political and economic support to Somalia to help it get rid of Emirati influence. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is now taking up the issue of the war in Sudan with its allies in Egypt and the United States of America in order to distance the UAE from the issue of ending the military conflict in Sudan, after Saudi Arabia fully realized that the UAE is destabilizing Sudan by providing support to The Rapid Support Forces.