Israeli Pressure on Trump to Attack Iran
There are files on US President Donald Trump — videos and photographs — in the possession of Israeli intelligence, the Mossad. For some time now, Prime Minister Netanyahu has been waiting for this moment. Every so often he emerges and issues a threat: either you strike Iran, or we expose you.
Trump approaches the matter from the angle of his personal interests and those of his children. He has struck a deal with a faction of the deep state, and he is reaping enormous profits from his position, from cryptocurrency, and from everything that generates gains for him and his family. It is not in his interest to leave office or step down, just as it is not in the interest of the faction aligned with him to enter into an open war with Iran.
They therefore seek to achieve a kind of balance in this dilemma: they deliver a strike and publicly declare — as they did last time — that they have destroyed their targets.
However, this time the plan may not succeed.
Although the Russian side has, according to some leaks, entered the picture as a mediator with the Iranians — attempting to persuade them to exchange token strikes and close the round of hostilities on that basis — the Iranians have hardened their position this time and announced that any strike against them, large or small, will be treated as a full-scale regional war.
For this reason, Trump yielded and moved toward the negotiation option.
Following that, Netanyahu returned to him with the files, visiting him at the White House.
Trump then walked back his position slightly, stating that they would send a second aircraft carrier to the region.
The conclusion, as it appears, is that Trump is cornered and under pressure, with no way out except to carry out a strike — while the Iranians have raised the cost of any such strike and pledged that its price will be borne by the entire region, including American bases and Israel itself.
On this basis, matters stand as they are for now. Yet the window of time and maneuver is narrow. Aircraft carriers — with all their symbolic weight and the deployment of bombers in the ocean and across regional countries that accompanies their presence — are costly to maintain, and some form of action is inevitable.
In addition to all of this, elections are approaching in both Israel and the United States in the coming months of October and November.
Consequently, as is to be expected, if they wish to capitalize on a strike electorally and exploit it in that context, it is likely to occur sometime around August or September.
