Omer B. Abu Haraz
A pearl of conventional wisdom: “If you are not confused, you are misinformed.”
Last week Dr. Hamdok, prime minister of the transitional government addressed the nation in seemingly emotional words about the current precarious conditions in the country which followed the decision to lift subsidy on fuel. Although many people described the speech as emotional, I believe it is not.
Hamdok in his speech sent very serious and alarming signals. Alarming because was sent from the first executive officer of Sudan who is adequately informed by internal and external sources.
Citing those serious signals he said:
Quote: “You have noticed the alarming hostile attitude of demonstrators creating a new atmosphere of chaos leading to the break of security and safety rendering the country to a fragile coherence and solidarity.
Demonstrations negatively developed into looting, sabotaging, and killing. Youth of the revolution should abide by the historic slogans of freedom, peace, and justice.
One of the reasons for this deviation from the peaceful slogans the differences among the components of the incubator of the revolution, the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC). Those differences created a vacuum through which the elements of the ousted regime clearly and immediately filled.
The second factor in creating the new dangerous atmosphere is a nasty growing ethnic and tribal rhetoric of hatred.
“I started having a feeling that the proliferation of such rhetoric will lead to popular conflicts and civil wars will spill over to many countries in the region which will pose a threat to the peace and security of the region. ” Unquote.
Messages sent by PM Hamdok must be taken seriously because they came from the well-informed top man in governance. He replied to those who described him as weak and not daring by saying he is NOT but observing other elements affecting the solidarity of Sudan. As if he is saying “I see what you cannot see”
The serious messages of hammock speech are:
- The FFC is now in disarray leaving the civilian government a lame duck to predators of the newcomers and elements of the ousted regime,
- The start creation of an unhealthy atmosphere of animosity in the Sudanese social fabric was rekindled by ethnical and tribal rhetoric which is conducive to widespread tribal confrontation culminating in full-fledged civil wars.
- Civil wars and deadly confrontations will pose a threat to international peace and security.
- Unrest in Sudan will subject it to articles of Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
As Sudan is now in the cross-hairs of the international community microscope, at the onset of the wide-spread wars the UNSC will immediately adopt a strong intervention of UN troops from a country or countries or most probably Egypt – USA – Afrocom.
This will put Sudan as a protectorate to the UN, the USA, or Egypt. That will be the end of a gallant revolution that peacefully ended 30 years of an autocratic regime.
To wrap up, the following must be observed:
1)Sudan is on the verge of disintegration.
2)the FFC must be revived and revitalized in its historic elements – Sudanese Professional Association, the political parties – Umma, Communist, Baath, Sudanese Congress.
3)Implementation of the Juba Peace Agreement of October 2020, especially the security arrangements.
4)Formation of the Legislative Council.
5)Speedy agreeing with SPLM-N (Al-Hilu Faction).
6)Filling the vacancies in the judicial authority.
7)Stopping the hostile ethnical rhetoric.
8)Without this the international military occupation is imminent.